Pine Labs IPO Day 3: Should You Buy or Avoid?

Pine Labs IPO Day 3: Should You Buy or Avoid?

Summary of Day 3 of Pine Labs’ IPO: Subscription, Business, Valuation, and Investing?

With a flat grey market premium (GMP) and moderate overall subscription interest, the Pine Labs initial public offering (IPO), which is valued at approximately ₹3,900 crore, went into its third and last day of bidding. The issue was 54% subscribed by the end of Day 2, indicating that investors are still cautious.

1. Fundamentals of IPOs

    Dates of Issue: November 7, 2025, to November 11, 2025.

    Price range: ₹210–₹221 per share.

    Lot Size: In order to purchase 67 shares, retail investors must invest a minimum of approximately ₹14,807 at the upper price range.

    About ₹3,899.91 crore is the issue size, which includes:

    New Problem: ~₹2,080 crore

    ~₹1,819.91 crore is the offer for sale (OFS) from current shareholders.

    Listing: Anticipated on the BSE and NSE on November 14, 2025.

    Status of Day 2 Subscription:

    Total: 54%

    87% of investors are retail.

    12% of investors are non-institutional (NII).

    64% of buyers are qualified institutional buyers (QIBs).

    Quota for Employees: 4.9 times oversubscribed

    There is currently no anticipated listing gain, as indicated by the Grey Market Premium (GMP) of ₹0.

    2. Overview of the Business

      Pine Labs is a platform for merchant commerce and fintech that provides:

      Point-of-sale (POS) devices

      Solutions for digital payments

      Services for issuing cards

      Solutions for checkout and payment processing

      The business provides:

      About 988,000 merchants

      716 consumer brands and business associates

      177 banks

      In addition to its primary operations in India, Pine Labs has expanded its global reach to include Malaysia, the United Arab Emirates, Singapore, Australia, the United States, and parts of Africa.

      The business handles a lot of transactions:

      GTV for FY25: approximately ₹11,424.97 billion (₹11.4 lakh crore)

      5.68 billion transactions were completed.

      Additionally, Pine Labs has expanded through calculated acquisitions such as:

      Qwikcilver (gift and prepaid options)

      Mosambee (digital payment tools for SMEs)

      Setu (financial services API infrastructure)

      Credit+ (issuing and processing of cards)

      3. Advantages

        strong presence in the rapidly expanding digital payments market, which is aided by India’s growing adoption of digital commerce.

        extensive merchant network, which generates high transaction throughput and network advantage.

        Targeted use of IPO funds: Pine Labs intends to make significant investments in:

        Cloud computing

        Infrastructure for IT

        Growth of the digital checkout ecosystem

        Repayment of debt

        In the long run, these investments might increase profitability and scalability.

        4. Dangers and Issues

          Pine Labs faces a number of serious risks in spite of its size and importance in the ecosystem of digital payments:

          Profitability Issues: The business’s reported losses in FY23 and FY24 cast doubt on its capacity to convert transaction volume into steady profits.

          Cash Flow Problems: According to recent financial data, operating cash flow is negative, which may put pressure on short-term liquidity.

          Customer Concentration Risk: A small number of important enterprise clients account for a sizable portion of revenue.

          Pressure from Competition: The fintech industry is fiercely competitive, with firms like Razorpay, Paytm, PhonePe, and banks’ own acquiring and point-of-sale networks vying for merchant onboarding.

          Weak Market Sentiment: Investor caution rather than enthusiasm is demonstrated by the flat GMP and moderate subscription.

          5. Market sentiment and valuation

            At the ₹221 upper price range:

            Market capitalisation after issuance: approximately ₹25,376 crore

            EV/Sales: about 8.0 times

            EV/EBITDA: approximately 82.8x

            This indicates that the IPO is priced aggressively and that the valuation already accounts for the company’s potential growth.

            Analysts of the market recommend:

            Unsuitable for listing gains

            More appropriate for long-term investors who trust the company’s growth and profitability plan

            IDBI Capital advises against short-term trading and instead suggests “Subscribe for Long Term.”

            6. Is It Time to Invest?

              This IPO doesn’t seem appealing if you’re looking for short-term listing gains.
              A flat GMP combined with a high valuation and a moderate subscription could result in a weak or flat listing.
              Avoid for short-term speculation, it is advised.

              If your investment horizon is three to five years:
              The company’s global expansion strategy and technology-first ecosystem place it in a structurally growing industry.
              But you have to be at ease with slow profit scaling and volatility.

              It is advised that you only think about applying if You are aware of the dangers, Only a small percentage of your portfolio is being invested.

              Furthermore, you don’t anticipate prompt returns.

              Last Thought

              Pine Labs is a powerful player in digital payments with significant room to grow. This is not a quick-profit IPO, though, due to the IPO pricing and the cautious market reaction. Only long-term investors who are prepared to endure growth cycles and put up with short-term uncertainty should use it.

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